Friday, September 14, 2007

Week Two Picks

And I also forgot to do the Best Bets last week, so I'll start 'em here.

As it stands on the year, I faltered early, but got every game or a push starting at 4pm. So I'm on a roll. Totals for 2007: 6-8-2
Stat of the week: Home team vs. the spread to date 9-6-1. Hmm. Makes those underdog picks seem a little better.

Best Bests = *

* Packers (pick) over GIANTS - My other sleeper pick. Go Pack Go!
Jets (+10) over RAVENS - This seems really high for two teams with serious QB issues. Vegas must be expecting 2 defensive TDs from Baltimore. I don't see the Jets losing that big.
Colts (-7) over TITANS - You gotta take the Colts until they lose one.
Bengals (-6.5) over BROWNS - Ugh. All these home upsets are bothering me again.
RAMS (-3) over 49ers - My Rams lose Orlando Pace for the 2nd straight season. Not good for you Steven Jackson owners.
Falcons (+10) over JAGUARS - This is a pride bet. The Falcons need to at least cover to reward my sleeper pick. Plus the way the Titans ran all over the Jags, it's time to let Jurious Norwood loose.
STEELERS (-9.5) over Bills - Are Santonio Holmes and Big Ben for real? We're about to find out.
* Saints (-3.5) over BUCS - This seems way too low to me.
PANTHERS (-6.5) over Texans - This is another scary take the home team bet. I wouldn't touch this action, except maybe in a teaser.
LIONS (-3) over Vikings - The Vikings had no offense at home last week, and this is a push?
* Cowboys (-3.5) over DOLPHINS - This seems low as well.
Seahawks (-3) over CARDINALS - If I hadn't watched last Monday's game, I'd be all over the Cards. This is already a must win for them.
Chiefs (+12) over BEARS - This very well could be one of those 9-6 snoozefests, a blowout, or a shocking upset. As much as I was disappointed with the Chiefs last week, I don't trust Benson and Grossman one iota. Plus I've got LJ, and I need a respectable game out of him.
BRONCOS (-10) over Raiders - I thought about going the other way here and then laughed.
PATRIOTS (-3.5) over Chargers - Should be a great game. The Patriots can be scored upon, so let's hope the line pans out.
EAGLES (-6.5) over Redskins - Eagles come home after a bad road loss, and the Redskins look like a mess. Let's hope for a shootout.

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