Friday, October 5, 2007

Week Five Picks

Finally, I have a banner week, bringing me to a respectable .500 on the season. We've got tons of injuries, both to myself and the rest of the NFL, so really anything could happen this week, and it wouldn't surprise me. Lots of "stay away" games this week, and Best Bets are hard to come by.

GIANTS (-3.5) over JETS - Hey, they're both at home, so who's foolin' who. Inevitably, whichever way I go here, I'm going to lose, and with the line bumping up to 3.5 it takes away a likely push. But didn't Tynes miss a bunch of kicks recently? So, hopefully the Gints score a late TD to win by 4.
SAINTS (-3) over Panthers - Both of these stink right now, but coming off the Bye against a David Carr-led Panthers, the Saints just gotta win by 3 here.
*CHIEFS (+2) over Jaguars - This is another tough one, but the once metaphysically certitude of the AFC West went out the window, I gotta like the Chiefs to show some spunk here.
Lions (+3.5) over REDSKINS - Moss may be out and Portis looks 75%, so lets see Kitna do some damage in D.C.
Dolphins (+5) over TEXANS - Houston has no weapons. Let me repeat that: Houston has no weapons. And much maligned Ronnie Brown has a real possibility to tie Sweetness for a record 200 combined yards in 3 consecutive games.
Falcons (+8.5) over TITANS - Didn't I jump off this bandwagon weeks ago? Titans come off the bye, but Harrington is getting better and better.
STEELERS (-6) over Seahawks - Steelers likely lose Ward again, but are they really going to lose to the whiny Hawks in this Superbowl rematch?
PATRIOTS (-16.5) over Browns - Keep running it up, Belichick.
*Cardinals (-3.5) over RAMS - Didn't AZ just beat Pittsburgh? Sure there's no Boldin, but the Rams are starting Frerotte and Leonard.
Bucs (+9.5) over COLTS - Manning is completely content to just win, and the Bucs just might hang in this thing before finally losing.
*Chargers (+1) over BRONCOS - This is a must must must win for San Diego. LT will throw a TD to himself if he has to to win this game.
49ERS (+3.5) over Ravens - You must be completely insane to put any money on this game. If Trent Dilfer is bad enough, but the Ravens are God awful. This seems like a slam dunk for Baltimore, so I'm going the other way.
PACKERS (-3) over Bears - That half-point of movement downwards is just what we like, but the Pack is at home and seem charmed so far - as long as they keep the ball in the air.
Cowboys (-10) over BILLS - This seems way too low. And Romo owes TO 3 TDs from last week.

Last Week: 9-5-0
Season: 28-28-6

Last Week's Best Bets: 0-0
Season: 4-2

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